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Inflation and interest rates

Why prices rise over time, how India measures inflation, what the repo rate is, and why the two together affect savings, loans and what your money can buy.

2 min readUpdated 10 Oct 2026

If a cup of tea cost ₹10 a few years ago and costs ₹12 now, that is inflation: prices in general rising over time. Your ₹100 note is the same note, but it now buys less.

How India measures it

The main measure is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), published every month by the government's statistics office. It tracks the prices of a fixed basket of things households buy, such as food, fuel, housing and clothes. When the basket costs 5% more than a year ago, CPI inflation is 5%.

Your own inflation can differ from the headline number. If your spending is mostly rent and fuel, those prices matter more to you than the average basket.

What interest rates are

Interest is the price of using money. A bank pays you interest on a deposit and charges more interest on a loan; the gap pays for its costs. Rates differ by bank, time period and borrower.

How the two are linked

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) sets a key rate called the repo rate, the rate at which it lends to banks. When inflation runs high, the RBI may raise it to make borrowing costlier and slow spending. When growth is weak and inflation is calm, it may lower it. The RBI aims to keep CPI inflation around 4%, within a band of 2% to 6%. Banks usually (not instantly, not always) pass changes on to deposit and loan rates.

Real returns

Suppose a deposit pays 7% a year and inflation is 5%. The real return is about 2%: your money grew, and its buying power grew a little. If inflation were 8%, the deposit would grow in rupees but lose buying power. This is why people compare any return with inflation, and why "safe" and "growing" are not the same thing.

Why you see it in market news

Headlines about inflation data or rate decisions move markets because they change what people expect for borrowing costs and company profits. How prices react is never certain.

Quick quiz

Three questions. Your answers stay on this device; nothing is saved.

Question 1 of 3

What does inflation do to the buying power of a rupee?

Question 2 of 3

A deposit pays 7% and inflation is 5%. The real return is about:

Question 3 of 3

Which rate does the RBI use as its key policy rate?

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Educational only, not investment advice. The companies in the examples are made up.